Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Low usage and scoring role off the bench
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/3/2026, 2:03:16 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| omniroute | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 31% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
10%
ORYN Consensus
12%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,494,215
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 7-13
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 2 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kiki Iriafen scores more than 14.5 points during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if Kiki Iriafen scores 14.5 points or fewer during the game. The entire game including all overtime periods will be considered. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the court at any point, the market will resolve "No". The resolution source will be the official WNBA box score as published on WNBA.com.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Kiki Iriafen, a rookie forward for the Seattle Storm, has a market probability of just 10% to score over 14.5 points in the upcoming game on July 2. Given her limited scoring role off the bench and the high threshold, the market strongly expects her to fall short. This line appears appropriately set, with the bear case heavily outweighing any upside.
Iriafen could exceed expectations if she gets increased minutes due to foul trouble or injuries on the Storm rotation. She has shown flashes of scoring efficiency in college and could have a breakout game against a weak opposing defense.
Iriafen has consistently scored in single digits as a rookie, rarely reaching double figures. The 14.5-point threshold is a high bar for a bench player with modest usage, and she could easily fall short even with average playing time.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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