Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Volatility from low-liquidity 1-minute candle resolution
AI updated 6/30/2026, 4:45:24 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
2%
Signal Score
+0.3
Opportunity
0.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 35.0¢
Entry: 0-4
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
2
Price history
90 points
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Solana (SOL) to trade between $90 and $100 on July 3 shows a low probability of 1.55%, indicating strong market skepticism toward this price range. The resolution is tied to Binance's 1-minute candle close price at noon ET, ensuring precision but adding volatility risk.
Solana could trade within $90-$100 if broader crypto market sentiment improves, driven by renewed institutional interest or positive macroeconomic signals. A potential rally in altcoins or a Solana-specific catalyst (e.g., ecosystem growth, staking rewards) could push prices into this range.
The bear case is dominant given the low probability, with risks including macroeconomic downturns (e.g., Fed policy hawkishness), Solana-specific technical issues (e.g., network congestion), or broader crypto market declines pushing SOL below $90.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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