This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Key risk: Regulatory uncertainty affecting altcoins
Calibrated 100% · raw 350% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 5:15:39 PM
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Crowd Consensus
49%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+3.5
Opportunity
2.6
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Solana's price between $30 and $40 on July 4 shows a near-even split with a 48.5% probability. The outcome hinges on short-term market dynamics and external factors influencing Solana's trading volume on Binance.
Solana could reach the $30-$40 range if there is a surge in demand driven by positive sentiment around its ecosystem development, such as new dApp launches or NFT activity. Additionally, broader market recovery in crypto prices or increased institutional interest could push the price upward.
Solana may fail to reach the target range if market sentiment sours due to regulatory concerns, macroeconomic downturns, or technical issues with the network. A decline in trading volume or negative news specific to Solana could also cap the price below $30.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your forecast thesis.
Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on July 4? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 48.5% while ORYN AI estimates 52%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
