Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: High volatility in crypto markets leading to rapid price swings
Calibrated 100% · raw 4300% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/26/2026, 1:39:46 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
44%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
-43.0
Opportunity
36.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -4300.0¢
Entry: 41-47
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
11 points
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market indicates a low probability (1.3%) that Ethereum's price will be between $1,900 and $2,000 at the specified resolution time. The narrow price range and low market interest suggest limited confidence in this outcome.
Ethereum could briefly enter the $1,900-$2,000 range due to a short-term surge in demand, driven by positive regulatory news, institutional adoption, or a broader crypto market rally. Momentum from major events like Ethereum upgrades or macroeconomic tailwinds could also push prices into this bracket.
Ethereum's price is unlikely to stabilize within this narrow range due to high volatility and broader market conditions. A lack of significant catalysts or negative sentiment could keep prices below $1,900, while a downturn might push them well above $2,000.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
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