Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Regulatory crackdowns on crypto in key markets
AI updated 6/28/2026, 8:15:26 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
2%
Signal Score
+0.5
Opportunity
0.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,076,166
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 45.0¢
Entry: 0-4
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
24 points
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ethereum (ETH) trading between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 29 shows a low probability of 1.60%. Historical volatility and recent trends suggest this range is unlikely without significant market catalysts.
Ethereum could surpass $1,400 if there is a strong bullish momentum driven by major regulatory clarity, Ethereum ETF approvals, or a surge in DeFi activity. A sustained uptrend in Bitcoin or broader crypto market recovery could also push ETH into this range.
Ethereum may fail to reach $1,300 due to persistent macroeconomic headwinds, regulatory uncertainty, or a broader crypto market downturn. A lack of positive catalysts or negative sentiment could keep ETH below this threshold.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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