Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: High volatility in crypto markets
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:45:23 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
0%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,788
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
7h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
4 points
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market indicates an extremely low probability (0.15%) that Ethereum's price will be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 28, 2024, based on Binance ETH/USDT closing prices. This suggests highly unfavorable odds for the specified range.
Ethereum could exceed expectations due to a major bullish catalyst such as a spot ETF approval, significant DeFi or Layer 2 adoption, or a macroeconomic shift favoring risk assets. A surge in institutional demand or a Bitcoin halving rally could also propel ETH above $1,400.
Ethereum may struggle to reach $1,300 due to regulatory pressures, macroeconomic downturns, or technical failures. A prolonged bear market, declining network activity, or exchange liquidity issues could keep prices below the target range.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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