Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: High volatility in crypto markets
AI updated 6/30/2026, 7:45:24 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 47% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
2%
ORYN Consensus
2%
Signal Score
+0.1
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,858,196
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 5.0¢
Entry: 0-5
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
12 points
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market indicates a low probability (1.95%) that Ethereum's price will fall within the $1,100 to $1,200 range on July 6, 2024. Given current trends and volatility, this range appears conservative and unlikely.
Ethereum could surpass $1,200 if market sentiment improves due to regulatory clarity, spot ETF inflows, or a broader crypto rally. A surge in DeFi activity or NFT trading volumes might also drive prices higher.
Ethereum may drop below $1,100 if macroeconomic conditions deteriorate, regulatory crackdowns intensify, or if a major exchange faces liquidity issues. A prolonged bear market or negative sentiment could push prices lower.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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