Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unpredictable audience behavior post-pandemic
AI updated 6/30/2026, 7:00:21 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
25%
ORYN Consensus
25%
Signal Score
-0.5
Opportunity
0.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,116,966
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -50.0¢
Entry: 22-28
—
Resolution
18d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
9 points
This market will resolve according to how much "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 17 - July 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for 'The Odyssey' opening weekend box office between $75M and $85M reflects low market confidence, with a 24.5% probability assigned. Historical data and industry trends suggest skepticism about the film's commercial performance in its debut.
A bullish outcome would require 'The Odyssey' to outperform expectations, leveraging strong marketing, franchise appeal, or favorable word-of-mouth. If the film benefits from a summer release window or cultural relevance, it could exceed $85M, driven by domestic and international demand.
The bear case hinges on weak audience reception, poor critical reviews, or competition from other major releases. If 'The Odyssey' fails to generate pre-release hype or suffers from franchise fatigue, it may underperform, falling below $75M in its opening weekend.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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