Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Low probability of the term being used in any given match
AI updated 7/1/2026, 4:30:34 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
75%
ORYN Consensus
75%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 72-78
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
8
Price history
5 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by any member of the official FOX broadcasting team during the English broadcast of the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup 2026 match on FOX, scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 12 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the events of the official match broadcast, beginning from the opening kickoff and ending at the final whistle, including any extra time or penalty shootout, if applicable. Pre-match and post-match commentary will not be considered. For the purpose of this market, the "FOX broadcasting team" refers to the officially assigned play-by-play announcer, match analyst, sideline reporter, and rules analyst assigned to this match by FOX Sports. Remarks made by other analysts, guest commentators, players, coaches, or any other individuals not part of the officially assigned broadcast team will not count toward resolution. If the England vs DR Congo match is definitively cancelled, postponed, or otherwise does not air by July 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If this match is interrupted, abbreviated, or only partially aired, this market will resolve according to what has occurred up to that point. The resolution source for this market is the official English broadcast of the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup 2026 match on FOX. Only remarks made live during the official broadcast will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market predicts a 74.50% probability that the term 'Timing' will be mentioned by FOX's official broadcast team during the England vs DR Congo FIFA World Cup 2026 match on July 1, 2026. This is a niche event-driven market with low inherent volatility, relying on specific commentary behavior.
The high probability suggests market confidence in the likelihood of 'Timing' being used, possibly due to the term's common usage in sports commentary during tactical discussions, player substitutions, or match pacing analysis. The term may also arise in discussions about referee decisions or VAR reviews, which are frequent in modern football broadcasts.
The market could underestimate the rarity of the term 'Timing' in live commentary, as broadcasters may avoid it unless it aligns with a specific narrative or incident. Alternatively, the broadcast team may not use the term at all, especially if the match is low-scoring or uneventful, reducing opportunities for its inclusion.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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