Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match being cancelled, postponed, or abbreviated
AI updated 6/28/2026, 12:30:15 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
93%
ORYN Consensus
93%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,093,554
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 90-96
—
Resolution
8h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
8 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by any member of the official FOX broadcasting team during the English broadcast of the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup 2026 match on FOX, scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 10 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the events of the official match broadcast, beginning from the opening kickoff and ending at the final whistle, including any extra time or penalty shootout, if applicable. Pre-match and post-match commentary will not be considered. For the purpose of this market, the "FOX broadcasting team" refers to the officially assigned play-by-play announcer, match analyst, sideline reporter, and rules analyst assigned to this match by FOX Sports. Remarks made by other analysts, guest commentators, players, coaches, or any other individuals not part of the officially assigned broadcast team will not count toward resolution. If the Jordan vs Argentina match is definitively cancelled, postponed, or otherwise does not air by June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If this match is interrupted, abbreviated, or only partially aired, this market will resolve according to what has occurred up to that point. The resolution source for this market is the official English broadcast of the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup 2026 match on FOX. Only remarks made live during the official broadcast will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market heavily favors a 'Yes' resolution, with a 92.5% probability, indicating strong confidence that the term 'Noise' will be mentioned by the FOX broadcasting team during the live broadcast of the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup 2026 match.
The term 'Noise' is colloquially used in football commentary to describe chaotic or intense moments in a match, such as crowd reactions, referee decisions, or dramatic plays. Given the high-profile nature of the match and the likelihood of such moments occurring, the probability of the term being spoken is elevated.
The term 'Noise' may not be used if the broadcast team employs more technical or formal language, or if the match lacks the chaotic elements that typically warrant its use. Additionally, if the match is low-scoring or uneventful, the likelihood of the term being mentioned decreases significantly.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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