Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or postponement
AI updated 6/28/2026, 4:46:55 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,169,258
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
4h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by any member of the official FOX broadcasting team during the English broadcast of the South Africa vs Canada FIFA World Cup 2026 match on FOX, scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 3 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the events of the official match broadcast, beginning from the opening kickoff and ending at the final whistle, including any extra time or penalty shootout, if applicable. Pre-match and post-match commentary will not be considered. For the purpose of this market, the "FOX broadcasting team" refers to the officially assigned play-by-play announcer, match analyst, sideline reporter, and rules analyst assigned to this match by FOX Sports. Remarks made by other analysts, guest commentators, players, coaches, or any other individuals not part of the officially assigned broadcast team will not count toward resolution. If the South Africa vs Canada match is definitively cancelled, postponed, or otherwise does not air by June 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If this match is interrupted, abbreviated, or only partially aired, this market will resolve according to what has occurred up to that point. The resolution source for this market is the official English broadcast of the South Africa vs Canada FIFA World Cup 2026 match on FOX. Only remarks made live during the official broadcast will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market reflects a 50% probability that the term 'Assist' will be mentioned by the FOX broadcasting team during the South Africa vs Canada FIFA World Cup 2026 match. This is a binary event with clear resolution criteria based on live broadcast commentary.
The probability could rise if historical trends show frequent use of 'Assist' in FIFA broadcasts, or if the match features high-scoring gameplay likely to generate multiple assists. Increased betting activity in favor of 'Yes' would also signal a bullish shift.
The probability could fall if the match is low-scoring or defensive, reducing the likelihood of assists being mentioned. Cancellation or postponement of the match would also trigger a 'No' resolution, driving the probability down. Low betting volume favoring 'Yes' would indicate bearish sentiment.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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