Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Exchange-specific liquidity risks (Binance)
AI updated 6/28/2026, 4:30:28 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
2%
ORYN Consensus
2%
Signal Score
-0.1
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
963,007
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -5.0¢
Entry: 0-5
—
Resolution
19h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
7 points
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market assessing whether Solana (SOL) will dip to $60 on June 28 is highly unlikely, with a current probability of 2.05%. The resolution depends solely on Binance's SOL/USDT 1-minute candle low prices, requiring a sustained drop to $60 or below during the specified 24-hour window.
Solana could dip to $60 if a significant market-wide correction occurs, driven by macroeconomic factors (e.g., U.S. Federal Reserve policy shifts, risk-off sentiment), or Solana-specific negative news (e.g., technical failures, regulatory crackdowns). A flash crash or liquidity squeeze on Binance could also trigger the condition.
The probability remains low due to Solana's recent price stability, strong ecosystem growth, and high liquidity on Binance. A dip to $60 would require an extreme outlier event, such as a major exchange hack, systemic failure, or a black swan event unrelated to Solana's fundamentals.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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