Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Data source reliability (Pyth outages, exchange discrepancies)
AI updated 6/29/2026, 12:00:18 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
2%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
-0.9
Opportunity
0.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,329,743
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -90.0¢
Entry: 0-5
—
Resolution
2d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
15 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during June 2026, any 1-minute candle for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.OPEN%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.OPEN%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hitting a low of $3.50 in June 2026 shows extremely low probability (1.25%), indicating strong skepticism about such an outcome. The market's resolution hinges on intraday lows during regular trading hours, with Pyth as the primary data source.
A bullish scenario could emerge if Opendoor's housing market operations rebound unexpectedly due to a surge in home sales or favorable mortgage rate cuts, pushing its stock price higher and reducing volatility. Potential corporate actions, such as a strategic acquisition or restructuring, might also temporarily depress the stock, creating a low of $3.50. Short-term speculative trading or macroeconomic shocks could briefly drive the price to the target.
The bearish case is dominant given OPEN's historical volatility and weak financial performance. Persistent housing market downturns, high interest rates, or operational challenges could push the stock to new lows. Regulatory risks, liquidity issues, or a broader market crash might also trigger the target price. The company's debt burden and competitive pressures further increase downside risk.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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