Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Subjectivity in interpreting 'saying' the word (e.g., background noise, unclear audio)
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 8:01:12 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
40%
ORYN Consensus
38%
Signal Score
-2.0
Opportunity
1.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,117,511
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -200.0¢
Entry: 37-43
—
Resolution
3d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
19 points
MrBeast Gaming releases videos on https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mr Beast says the listed term during the next video he releases on his gaming channel on YouTube. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such video is posted by MrBeast by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released video from (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeastGaming). Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next gaming video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market indicates a 40% probability that MrBeast will say the word 'Hunger' during his next gaming YouTube video. The event is time-bound, with a fallback resolution if no qualifying video is posted by July 31, 2026.
MrBeast has a history of incorporating trending or humorous phrases into his content for comedic effect. 'Hunger' could be used as part of a joke, challenge, or reaction during gameplay, aligning with his content style.
MrBeast's gaming content typically focuses on high-energy challenges, reactions, and collaborations, with less emphasis on random word usage. The phrase 'Hunger' may not fit naturally into upcoming video themes, reducing the likelihood of its inclusion.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
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