Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Scotland's elimination in group stage
AI updated 7/2/2026, 10:00:38 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| fincept | 1 | — | Global only |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 31% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
0%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
correlates · strength 60%
Will Martin Boyle record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? is related to Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?, Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? is related to Will Martin Boyle record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
correlates · strength 60%
correlated market
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,453,749
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
15d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
14 points
This market will resolve to the player who records the most goal contributions combined through all rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. For the purpose of this market, a goal contribution is defined exclusively as the number of combined goals and assists a player has recorded. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored more goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Martin Boyle recording the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup is highly unlikely, with a current probability of 0.10%. This reflects Boyle's limited international exposure and competition from top-tier players.
Boyle could lead in goal contributions if he secures a starting role for Scotland, maintains peak form, and benefits from a favorable tournament schedule with multiple attacking opportunities. A standout performance in qualifiers or pre-tournament friendlies could elevate his odds.
Boyle faces long odds due to the dominance of established stars (e.g., Messi, Mbappé) and top teams (Brazil, France, Argentina). Scotland's historical underperformance and Boyle's inconsistent club form reduce his likelihood of leading in contributions.
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