Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Oubre's injury history affecting team interest
Calibrated 100% · raw 4050% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 8:31:34 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
4%
ORYN Consensus
45%
Signal Score
+40.5
Opportunity
30.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 4050.0¢
Entry: 1-7
—
Resolution
72d
Decision snapshots
5
Price history
38 points
This market will resolve to the next team Kelly Oubre Jr. officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Kelly Oubre Jr. does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If Kelly Oubre Jr. joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Kelly Oubre Jr. is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Kelly Oubre Jr.'s potential move to the Portland Trail Blazers in the 2026-27 season has a 44.5% market probability, indicating moderate uncertainty. The outcome hinges on Oubre's free agency status, team needs, and contract negotiations.
Oubre could sign with Portland due to their rebuilding phase and need for wing depth, with his scoring ability and veteran presence fitting their timeline. A strong 2025-26 season or early 2026 free agency interest from Portland could drive this outcome.
Portland may prioritize younger assets or cap flexibility, opting for a rebuild without Oubre. Oubre's injury history or a preference for a contender could also steer him elsewhere, reducing his likelihood of joining Portland.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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