This market will resolve to "Yes" if Interactive Brokers' net interest income for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Interactive Brokers' official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Key risk: Unexpected macroeconomic downturns
AI updated 6/27/2026, 4:00:42 PM
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Interactive Brokers' net interest income for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Interactive Brokers' official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Crowd Consensus
95%
ORYN Consensus
94%
Signal Score
-1.0
Opportunity
0.9
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market overwhelmingly favors 'Yes' for Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q2 net interest income exceeding $925M, with a 95% probability. This reflects strong confidence in IBKR's financial performance, likely driven by sustained interest rate environments or asset growth.
IBKR's Q2 net interest income could exceed $925M due to robust trading volumes, higher interest rates boosting net interest margins, and continued growth in customer deposits. Strong institutional client activity or expansion in margin lending may also contribute.
IBKR's net interest income might fall short of $925M if interest rates decline sharply, reducing net interest margins. Lower trading volumes or client outflows could also depress revenue, particularly if economic conditions weaken or competition intensifies.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your forecast thesis.
Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q2 net interest income be above $925M? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 95% while ORYN AI estimates 94%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
