Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Regulatory uncertainty in APAC markets
AI updated 6/26/2026, 1:08:52 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
23%
ORYN Consensus
23%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
HIGH
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 20-26
—
Resolution
133d
Decision snapshots
5
Price history
5 points
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest is equal to or greater than the amount specified in the title at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is Artemis Analytics, using the Hyperliquid page available at: https://classic.artemis.ai/asset/Hyperliquid?tab=hip_3 The value used will be the “Total” open interest shown when hovering over a daily bar in the “HIP-3 DEXs by Open Interest” chart. A daily value is considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable public data sources.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hitting $8B in 2026 currently stands at 22.5%, indicating low confidence in this scenario. The market's resolution hinges on Hyperliquid's growth trajectory, adoption of HIP-3, and broader AI-driven trading trends in the Asia-Pacific region.
Hyperliquid could surpass $8B in HIP-3 open interest by 2026 if AI-driven trading adoption accelerates, regulatory clarity in key markets (e.g., Singapore, Japan) fosters institutional participation, and HIP-3’s liquidity incentives attract high-volume traders. A sustained bull run in crypto markets would further amplify this trend.
The $8B target may remain unmet if Hyperliquid fails to compete with established DEXs like Uniswap or dYdX, regulatory crackdowns in major markets suppress AI trading, or broader macroeconomic conditions (e.g., recession) dampen risk appetite. Slow HIP-3 adoption would also hinder growth.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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