Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Volatility in commodity prices impacting Reliance Industries' energy segment
AI updated 6/29/2026, 8:01:48 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
133d
Decision snapshots
4
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to the largest Indian public company by market cap on December 31, 2026, at 11:59PM ET. In the event that two listed companies merge prior to the resolution date, the merged entity will be considered to be the same company as the acquirer. If there is no clear acquirer, or if the merged entity trades under a new ticker, the merged entity will be considered to be the company that comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be the market cap rankings published by the Bombay Stock Exchange, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The market cap rankings published by the Bombay Stock Exchange can be found here as of the launch of this market: https://www.bseindia.com/markets/equity/eqreports/topmarketcapitalization
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market currently prices Hindustan Unilever Ltd (HUL) as a 50% chance to be the largest Indian company by market cap by December 31, 2026. This reflects a highly competitive landscape dominated by Reliance Industries and Tata Group subsidiaries.
HUL could surpass rivals by leveraging strong FMCG demand, consistent revenue growth, and potential mergers or acquisitions in high-growth segments like digital payments or agribusiness. A sustained bull run in consumer staples or a major expansion into adjacent sectors could propel HUL to the top.
Reliance Industries' dominance in energy, telecom, and retail, combined with Tata Group's diversified portfolio and market cap advantages, makes it challenging for HUL to overtake them. Regulatory hurdles, margin pressures, or slower growth could hinder HUL's ascent.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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