Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Engagement or wedding cancellation
Calibrated 100% · raw 400% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/29/2026, 12:00:32 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
42%
ORYN Consensus
46%
Signal Score
+4.0
Opportunity
3.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,331,940
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 400.0¢
Entry: 39-45
—
Resolution
365d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
15 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is announced to be a bridesmaid at Taylor Swift's wedding to Travis Kelce. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Taylor Swift's engagement to Travis Kelce is called off, cancelled, or otherwise broken according to official statements from either party or their legal or social media representatives or a consensus of credible reporting, this market will resolve to "No". If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to announcements or statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the listed individual, or their legal or social media representatives. If no qualifying announcements or statements are made, this market will resolve according to video or photos of the wedding or a consensus of credible reporting. This market will resolve immediately upon a qualifying announcement. Any later revisions or revocations of bridesmaid status will not be considered.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market indicates a near-even split on whether Gigi Hadid will be a bridesmaid in Taylor Swift's wedding to Travis Kelce, with a 46% probability. The outcome hinges on official announcements or credible reporting, with no prior precedent for such a pairing in Swift's past weddings.
Gigi Hadid has a long-standing friendship with Taylor Swift, having previously attended her 2012 and 2014 weddings. Hadid's close social circle and potential as a high-profile bridesmaid could drive a 'Yes' resolution if Swift seeks to include her in the wedding party.
Taylor Swift has historically favored bridesmaids from her inner circle, such as Selena Gomez or Karlie Kloss, rather than celebrity friends outside her core team. The lack of recent public interactions between Swift and Hadid may reduce the likelihood of her inclusion in the bridal party.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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