Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Low liquidity on Binance for 1-minute candles
AI updated 7/2/2026, 5:30:19 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 37% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
1%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
-0.1
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,697,790
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -5.0¢
Entry: 0-4
—
Resolution
20h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
4 points
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ethereum reaching $1,800 on July 2 has an extremely low probability (0.50%), indicating near-certainty that the price will not meet the threshold. The resolution depends solely on Binance's 1-minute candle high prices for ETH/USDT within the specified timeframe.
A sudden surge in institutional adoption, regulatory clarity, or a major DeFi protocol launch could trigger a rapid price spike. Alternatively, macroeconomic tailwinds like a dovish Fed pivot or Bitcoin ETF approvals might lift Ethereum beyond $1,800. However, these scenarios are highly unlikely given current market conditions.
Ethereum's price is currently consolidating below $1,800 with weak momentum, and no catalysts are expected to propel it to the threshold. Macro headwinds, regulatory crackdowns, or a broader crypto market downturn could further suppress prices, making $1,800 unattainable.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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