Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Black swan events (e.g., exchange hacks, regulatory bans)
AI updated 6/29/2026, 7:18:12 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
2%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
-0.1
Opportunity
0.1
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -10.0¢
Entry: 0-5
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
1
Price history
58 points
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market assesses a low 1.45% probability that Ethereum (ETH/USDT) will dip to $1,100 or below on Binance between June 29 and July 5, 2024. Historical volatility and recent price action suggest this scenario is unlikely but not impossible.
Ethereum's strong network fundamentals, including high DeFi and NFT activity, coupled with potential ETF approvals or bullish macroeconomic conditions, could sustain prices above $1,100. Additionally, technical support levels around $1,200 may prevent a deeper dip.
A sudden market downturn, regulatory crackdowns, or macroeconomic shocks (e.g., recession fears) could trigger a sharp sell-off, pushing Ethereum below $1,100. Short-term volatility or liquidity crunches on Binance could exacerbate the dip.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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