This market will resolve according to Delta's announced passenger revenue per available seat mile (PRASM), reported in cents, for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The company trades under the ticker DAL as of the creation of this market. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Delta's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Key risk: Inaccurate or incomplete reporting in Delta's earnings materials
AI updated 6/26/2026, 2:02:09 PM
This market will resolve according to Delta's announced passenger revenue per available seat mile (PRASM), reported in cents, for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The company trades under the ticker DAL as of the creation of this market. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Delta's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Crowd Consensus
47%
ORYN Consensus
46%
Signal Score
-1.0
Opportunity
0.8
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market suggests a near-even probability (45.5%) that Delta's Q2 PRASM will fall within the 19-20 cents range. The resolution hinges on Delta's official earnings materials, with strict adherence to the reported metric's precision.
Delta could achieve PRASM in the 19-20 cents range due to sustained strong demand for domestic and international travel, driven by pent-up travel demand and limited capacity constraints. Additionally, improved operational efficiency and cost management may contribute to higher revenue per seat.
Delta's PRASM may fall below 19 cents due to macroeconomic headwinds such as a recessionary environment, reduced corporate travel budgets, or persistent inflation impacting consumer discretionary spending. Operational disruptions or fuel price volatility could also weigh on revenue performance.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your forecast thesis.
Will Delta Q2 passenger revenue per available seat mile be between 19 and 20 cents? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 46.5% while ORYN AI estimates 45.5%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
