Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Inaccurate or incomplete reporting in Delta's earnings materials
Calibrated 100% · raw 2550% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/26/2026, 2:02:09 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
20%
ORYN Consensus
46%
Signal Score
+25.5
Opportunity
19.1
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
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Delta Q2 passenger revenue per available seat mile market is positively correlated with Bitcoin being up on June 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
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Delta Q2 passenger revenue per available seat mile market is positively correlated with Bitcoin closing above $60,000 at the end of Mar 2024
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Delta Q2 passenger revenue per available seat mile market is negatively correlated with Manifund's loan to @MarcusAbramovitch's crypto fund being repaid without incident
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Delta Q2 passenger revenue per available seat mile market is negatively correlated with Bitcoin reaching $30,000
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 2550.0¢
Entry: 17-23
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
90 points
This market will resolve according to Delta's announced passenger revenue per available seat mile (PRASM), reported in cents, for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The company trades under the ticker DAL as of the creation of this market. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Delta's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market suggests a near-even probability (45.5%) that Delta's Q2 PRASM will fall within the 19-20 cents range. The resolution hinges on Delta's official earnings materials, with strict adherence to the reported metric's precision.
Delta could achieve PRASM in the 19-20 cents range due to sustained strong demand for domestic and international travel, driven by pent-up travel demand and limited capacity constraints. Additionally, improved operational efficiency and cost management may contribute to higher revenue per seat.
Delta's PRASM may fall below 19 cents due to macroeconomic headwinds such as a recessionary environment, reduced corporate travel budgets, or persistent inflation impacting consumer discretionary spending. Operational disruptions or fuel price volatility could also weigh on revenue performance.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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