Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Coldplay’s streaming growth stagnation or decline
AI updated 6/29/2026, 1:00:24 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
3%
ORYN Consensus
3%
Signal Score
-0.1
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,331,290
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -5.0¢
Entry: 0-6
—
Resolution
20h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
11 points
This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the second greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on June 30, 2026, 12PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total. In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market assigns a low 2.80% probability that Coldplay will rank second in monthly Spotify listeners by June 30, 2026, indicating strong skepticism about their ability to surpass competitors like Taylor Swift or Bad Bunny.
Coldplay could achieve the second-highest monthly listeners if they release a globally dominant album in late 2025 or early 2026, leveraging their established fanbase and viral streaming potential. A major tour or viral social media campaign could also propel their numbers ahead of competitors.
Coldplay’s monthly listeners are unlikely to surpass artists like Taylor Swift, Bad Bunny, or The Weeknd due to their declining streaming growth trends and lack of recent blockbuster releases. Competitors with stronger streaming momentum (e.g., K-pop acts) may maintain higher listener counts.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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