Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury risks to QBs before Week 1
Calibrated 100% · raw 400% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 10:15:41 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
43%
ORYN Consensus
47%
Signal Score
+4.0
Opportunity
3.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,073,931
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 400.0¢
Entry: 40-45
—
Resolution
77d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
16 points
This market will resolve according to the player that is officially announced by the New York Jets to be the starting quarterback in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. In the event that no starting quarterback is officially announced by the team, this market will resolve in favor of the listed quarterback who takes the field on the listed team’s first offensive play. In the event two listed quarterbacks take the field on the first offensive play of the New York Jets’ Week 1 game, this market will resolve in favor of the player directly receiving the snap. If neither listed quarterback directly receives the snap, this market will resolve in favor of the quarterback who first directly receives a snap in the game. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the quarterback whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no official starter has taken the field within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and/or the New York Jets; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market indicates a near-even split on whether Cade Klubnik will start as the Jets' Week 1 QB for the 2026-27 season, with a slight bearish lean at 46.50% probability. The resolution is contingent on official team announcements or on-field performance in Week 1.
Klubnik's probability could rise if training camp and preseason performances demonstrate superior skill, leadership, or adaptability to the Jets' offensive scheme. Injuries to incumbent QBs (e.g., Aaron Rodgers, Zach Wilson) or trade acquisitions favoring Klubnik could also bolster his starting chances.
The Jets may retain a veteran QB (e.g., Rodgers) or draft/sign another prospect, reducing Klubnik's Week 1 role. Poor preseason performance, organizational skepticism about his readiness, or coaching staff preferences for a more experienced QB could suppress his probability.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.
