Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Tournament cancellation or postponement beyond August 31, 2026
AI updated 7/1/2026, 3:16:22 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 42% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,454,019
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Open-ended
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will resolve to the region of the team that wins the Grand Final of the 2026 Esports World Cup (EWC) Dota 2 tournament, held July 7–19, 2026 in Paris, France. For the purposes of this market, a team's region is determined by the regional classification listed for that team on its Liquipedia team page (https://liquipedia.net/dota2). Regions are grouped based on the Liquipedia classification at (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/Portal:Teams) If the winning team's Liquipedia regional classification does not fall into any of the six groups above, this market will resolve to the group containing the geographically nearest region, as determined by the team's classification on Liquipedia. The market resolves to the region of the single team that wins the EWC Dota 2 Grand Final (i.e., is awarded 1st place / the championship). If the tournament is cancelled, or is postponed such that no champion is determined by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If there is a tie, this market will resolve to the region that comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/Esports_World_Cup/2026), used both for the official champion and for each team's regional classification. The official EWC website (https://esportsworldcup.com) is the secondary source for the champion. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
C's chance to win the Dota EWC 2026 is neutral at 50%, reflecting balanced regional competitiveness in Dota 2 esports. Historical EWC performance and current team strength suggest no dominant favorite.
C benefits from strong regional representation in Dota 2, with teams like Thunder Awaken (Southeast Asia) and BOOM Esports (Southeast Asia) having recent EWC success. A potential home advantage for SEA teams in Paris could boost C's odds.
C faces intense competition from historically dominant regions like China (DPC) and Europe (ESL). If the Grand Final features a China vs. Europe matchup, C's probability drops sharply due to regional power dynamics.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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