Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Regulatory shocks or exchange-specific risks (e.g., Binance compliance issues)
AI updated 7/2/2026, 7:00:21 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 35% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
2%
ORYN Consensus
2%
Signal Score
+0.1
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
correlates · strength 60%
Geopolitical Risk and Macroeconomic Sentiment
correlates · strength 60%
Short-Term Price Momentum and Continuation
correlates · strength 60%
Long-Term Bitcoin Price Trajectory
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,734,054
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 5.0¢
Entry: 0-5
—
Resolution
29d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Bitcoin reaching $77,500 in July has a current probability of 1.95%, indicating extremely low market confidence in this outcome. The resolution depends solely on Binance's BTC/USDT 1-minute candle high prices during July.
Bitcoin could surge to $77,500 in July due to strong institutional adoption, macroeconomic tailwinds like lower interest rates, or a supply shock from halving effects. A sustained breakout above key resistance levels (e.g., $70K) could trigger a rapid rally fueled by speculative FOMO.
Bitcoin may fail to reach $77,500 in July amid regulatory crackdowns, macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., higher-than-expected inflation or recession fears), or prolonged bearish market sentiment. Weak trading volumes or a lack of catalyst could cap gains below $70K.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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