Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Volatility spikes or flash crashes in the final hours of June 28
AI updated 6/28/2026, 6:00:37 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
7%
ORYN Consensus
7%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
962,552
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
HIGH
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 4-10
—
Resolution
19h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market reflects a 7% probability that Bitcoin will reach a high of at least $62,000 on Binance (BTC/USDT) within the 1-minute candle timeframe on June 28, 2024. This is a highly specific and short-term prediction with low current confidence.
Bitcoin could surge to $62,000+ due to unexpected macroeconomic factors (e.g., Fed dovish pivot, ETF inflows surge, or geopolitical shocks driving safe-haven demand). Alternatively, a sudden short squeeze or whale-driven rally in the final hours of June 28 could push the high above the threshold.
Bitcoin may fail to reach $62,000 due to sustained bearish momentum, regulatory crackdowns, or macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., strong U.S. CPI data, hawkish Fed signals). Low volatility or a consolidating market could also keep the high below the target.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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