Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unpredictable contestant behavior
AI updated 6/30/2026, 9:03:55 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,116,966
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
1d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
Episode 26 of Love Island USA Season 8 is scheduled to air on July 2, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during the specified episode of Love Island USA. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this episode of Love Island USA has not been released in its entirety by July 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has been released up to that point. If no episode has been released by this time, or if the release is otherwise definitively cancelled, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the initial release of the named episode of Love Island USA. Reruns, re-releases, or transcripts which differ from the initially released episode will not be considered. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market predicts a 50% chance that the term 'Husband' will be spoken during Love Island USA Season 8, Episode 26. The outcome hinges on natural dialogue in a reality TV setting, with no clear bull or bear bias.
The term 'Husband' is likely to be used if contestants engage in serious discussions about relationships, commitments, or future plans, which is common in later episodes of reality shows. The emotional intensity of the season could drive such dialogue.
The term may not be spoken if the episode focuses on lighter, more superficial interactions or if contestants avoid discussions about long-term commitments. The probability could drop if prior episodes lacked such terminology.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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