Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential for Map 3 to be decided by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, leading to 50-50 resolution
AI updated 6/28/2026, 2:02:51 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,127,902
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
4d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Valorant match between Team Vitality and Karmine Corp in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 2 at 9:45AM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 3 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 3, including any overtime, is greater than 19.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 19.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 19.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for 'Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5' between Team Vitality and Karmine Corp is balanced at 50%, reflecting equal probability of total rounds exceeding or falling short of 19.5. The resolution hinges on the completion of Map 3, with no bias toward either outcome based on current data.
A bullish outcome would require Map 3 to exceed 19.5 rounds, suggesting a high-scoring, prolonged match with both teams trading rounds frequently. This could occur if the teams are evenly matched, leading to extended play or overtime.
A bearish outcome would see Map 3 end with fewer than 19.5 rounds, indicating a decisive or one-sided match where one team quickly dominates. This could result from a significant skill disparity or a tactical strategy that limits round count.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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