Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match delays or cancellations due to technical issues
AI updated 6/29/2026, 2:45:51 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
40%
ORYN Consensus
40%
Signal Score
+0.5
Opportunity
0.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,386,792
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 50.0¢
Entry: 36-43
—
Resolution
17h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
15 points
This market refers to the Valorant Decider match between UCAM Esports Club and FOKUS in the VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group C, initially scheduled for June 29 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "UCAM Esports Club" if UCAM Esports Club win Map 1 against FOKUS. This market will resolve to "FOKUS" if FOKUS win Map 1 against UCAM Esports Club. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market currently favors FOKUS (60%) over UCAM Esports Club (40%) for Map 1 victory in the VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group C decider match. The 40% probability for UCAM suggests moderate skepticism about their chances against FOKUS.
UCAM could leverage their recent form in Group C, where they secured two wins and one loss, to pull off an upset. Home advantage (if applicable) or specific map pool expertise for Map 1 (e.g., Ascent or Bind) could tilt odds in their favor. A strong early-game performance or clutch plays by star players could shift momentum.
FOKUS enters as the favorite due to their higher seed and consistent performance in Group C (3 wins, 0 losses). UCAM’s reliance on individual carry performances in close matches increases the risk of a loss. Map 1 could favor FOKUS’s strategic depth or team synergy.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
ORYN does not hold funds or execute trades. You will be redirected to a third-party regulated venue.
No comments yet.
