Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Uncertainty in map completion (forfeit/default risk)
AI updated 6/29/2026, 10:19:20 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,685,719
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Valorant match between STREAMER ARENA and Stray Kittens in the VCL Latin America North: Regular Season, initially scheduled for June 29 at 6:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 3 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 3, including any overtime, is greater than 19.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 19.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 19.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for 'Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5' in the STREAMER ARENA vs. Stray Kittens match is currently balanced at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty due to the binary resolution conditions. The outcome hinges entirely on whether the combined round total on Map 3 exceeds or falls short of 19.5, with no influence from match results beyond this map.
A bullish outcome (Over 19.5) is plausible if both teams engage in high-scoring, competitive gameplay with frequent round ties or overtime scenarios, which Valorant maps often accommodate. STREAMER ARENA's offensive playstyle and Stray Kittens' defensive resilience could prolong rounds, pushing the total rounds played above 19.5.
A bearish outcome (Under 19.5) is equally likely if either team dominates Map 3 with swift victories, minimizing round count through one-sided gameplay or early map concessions. Technical issues, player fatigue, or a low-scoring tactical match could also suppress the round total below the threshold.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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