Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Incomplete or forfeited Map 3 (market resolves 50-50)
AI updated 6/30/2026, 7:30:45 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,117,511
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Valorant match between REBORN and Joblife in the VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 30 at 1:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to " REBORN" if REBORN wins Map 3 by 8 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. REBORN's round total on Map 3 exceeds Joblife's by 8 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Joblife". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Map 3 Handicap (REBORN -7.5 vs Joblife +7.5) is evenly split, reflecting uncertainty in the outcome based on the handicap spread. The resolution hinges on a significant round differential in Map 3, which is independent of the match winner.
REBORN could win Map 3 by 8+ rounds if they demonstrate superior map control, team synergy, or adaptability to Joblife's strategies. A strong early-game lead or dominance in pistol rounds could tilt the odds in their favor.
Joblife may overcome the handicap if REBORN struggles with coordination, executes poorly in key rounds, or faces unexpected map-specific challenges. A close or overtime-decided Map 3 could result in the market resolving to Joblife.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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