Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unexpected player substitutions or in-game issues
Calibrated 100% · raw 4945% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 8:01:44 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
-49.5
Opportunity
27.2
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,117,511
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -4945.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
5 points
This market refers to the Valorant match between REBORN and Joblife in the VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 30 at 1:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to " REBORN" if REBORN wins Map 3 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. REBORN's round total on Map 3 exceeds Joblife's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Joblife". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Map 3 handicap (REBORN -3.5 vs Joblife +3.5) is currently at a near-even split (50.50%), reflecting uncertainty over whether REBORN will win Map 3 by 4+ rounds or not. The outcome hinges solely on Map 3's round score, independent of the match result.
REBORN could dominate Map 3 with a strong team performance, particularly if their star players (e.g., a top fragger) outperform Joblife's defenses. A 4+ round victory would validate the handicap odds and suggest REBORN's superior map control and economy management.
Joblife may outmaneuver REBORN in Map 3, either through tactical adjustments or exploiting REBORN's weaknesses (e.g., inconsistent post-plant play). A close Map 3 (3+ round deficit) would favor Joblife under the handicap rules.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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