Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unforeseen match disruptions (forfeit, delays, or cancellations)
Calibrated 100% · raw 4745% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 8:01:34 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
100%
ORYN Consensus
53%
Signal Score
-47.5
Opportunity
35.6
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,117,436
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -4745.0¢
Entry: 97-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
5 points
This market refers to the Valorant match between REBORN and Joblife in the VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 30 at 1:30PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to " REBORN" if REBORN wins Map 3 by 3 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. REBORN's round total on Map 3 exceeds Joblife's by 3 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Joblife". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market favors Joblife (+2.5) slightly with a 52.50% probability, indicating a marginal expectation that Joblife will win Map 3 by 2 or fewer rounds or force a non-conclusive resolution. REBORN (-2.5) is the underdog, requiring a 3+ round margin to win.
REBORN could dominate Map 3 with a strong early lead, aggressive strategies, or superior map control, securing a 3+ round victory. A high win rate on defense or clutch performances in overtime could also push REBORN to the required margin.
Joblife may outperform in clutch scenarios, leverage map-specific advantages, or capitalize on REBORN's inconsistencies to limit the margin to 2 or fewer rounds. External factors like player fatigue or unexpected strategy shifts could also prevent REBORN from achieving the required lead.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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