Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential match delays or cancellations affecting Map 2 completion
Calibrated 100% · raw 2250% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 6:15:25 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
75%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
-22.5
Opportunity
14.6
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -2250.0¢
Entry: 72-78
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
3
Price history
4 points
This market refers to the Valorant match between REBORN and Joblife in the VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 30 at 1:30PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 2 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to " REBORN" if REBORN wins Map 2 by 3 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. REBORN's round total on Map 2 exceeds Joblife's by 3 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Joblife". Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Map 2 of the REBORN vs. Joblife Valorant match (handicap: REBORN -2.5) is evenly split at 50%, reflecting uncertainty due to the handicap's narrow margin and the volatility of esports outcomes. The outcome depends solely on Map 2's round differential, making it independent of the match's overall result.
REBORN could win Map 2 by 3+ rounds if their strategic adjustments, player form, or meta dominance (e.g., Agent picks like Jett or Phoenix) outperform Joblife’s consistency. A strong start in pistol rounds or effective post-plant plays could tilt the odds in their favor.
Joblife may edge out REBORN in Map 2 if their teamwork, economy management, or clutch performances in tight rounds prevail. The handicap’s narrow margin (+2.5) increases the risk of Joblife staying within 2 rounds, leading to a 50-50 resolution.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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