Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Map 2 not played to completion (default resolution to 50-50)
AI updated 7/2/2026, 5:31:05 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 28% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,886,618
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
2h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Valorant match between NRG and Paper Rex in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for July 2 at 12:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 2 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "NRG" if NRG wins Map 2 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. NRG's round total on Map 2 exceeds Paper Rex's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Paper Rex". Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Map 2 of NRG vs Paper Rex in the Valorant Esports World Cup Group B is evenly split at 50%, reflecting uncertainty due to NRG's -3.5 handicap requiring a 4-round victory. The outcome hinges on NRG's ability to overcome the deficit while accounting for overtime scenarios.
NRG could win Map 2 by 4+ rounds if they dominate early rounds, capitalize on Paper Rex's misplays, or leverage superior team coordination and individual skill. A strong first-half performance with consistent executes and aggressive playstyle may secure the required margin.
Paper Rex could prevent NRG from reaching the 4-round margin by maintaining a tight defense, exploiting NRG's weaknesses, or extending the match into overtime where a single round swing negates NRG's handicap. A close or split Map 2 favors Paper Rex under this market's resolution.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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