Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_forfeit_or_disqualification
AI updated 7/2/2026, 5:30:59 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 27% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,274,040
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
1
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Valorant match between NAVI Junior and Joblife in the VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 2 at 11:00AM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 3 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 3, including any overtime, is greater than 22.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 22.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 22.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Map 3 Total Rounds Over/Under 22.5 in the NAVI Junior vs. Joblife Valorant match is currently at a 50.00% probability, indicating a balanced expectation with no clear consensus on whether the total rounds will exceed or fall short of 22.5.
A bullish scenario would involve high-skill teams engaging in prolonged tactical battles, leading to frequent round ties and overtime. NAVI Junior and Joblife, both competitive sides, may push the round count beyond 22.5 through extended close rounds or multiple overtime sequences.
A bearish outcome could result from one team dominating the map early, leading to a swift conclusion with fewer than 22.5 total rounds. Alternatively, early game-ending mistakes or tactical blunders might reduce the round count, especially if the match is decided decisively in fewer rounds.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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