Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match disruptions (forfeit, delays, or cancellations)
AI updated 7/2/2026, 5:01:19 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 27% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
3,272,170
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
1
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Valorant match between NAVI Junior and Joblife in the VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 2 at 11:00AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "NAVI Junior" if NAVI Junior wins Map 3 by 3 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. NAVI Junior's round total on Map 3 exceeds Joblife's by 3 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Joblife". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market predicts a near-even chance (50%) for NAVI Junior to win Map 3 by 3+ rounds against Joblife, with resolution dependent solely on Map 3's round score. Uncertainty arises from reliance on round differentials and potential match disruptions.
NAVI Junior could dominate Map 3 with a strong early lead, leveraging superior individual skill or team coordination to secure a 3+ round margin. Overtime scenarios favoring NAVI Junior's late-game execution would also support the bull case.
Joblife may counter NAVI Junior's strategies, forcing a close Map 3 finish where the round differential falls short of the 3+ threshold. External factors like technical issues or player fatigue could disrupt NAVI Junior's momentum.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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