Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Incomplete Map 2 due to technical issues or forfeit
AI updated 6/29/2026, 8:00:23 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
88%
ORYN Consensus
88%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,664,460
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 85-91
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Valorant match between Misa Esports and Team Liquid Academy in the VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group D, initially scheduled for June 29 at 1:30PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 2 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports wins Map 2 by 3 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Misa Esports's round total on Map 2 exceeds Team Liquid Academy's by 3 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Team Liquid Academy". Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Misa Esports is heavily favored to win Map 2 by 3+ rounds against Team Liquid Academy, with an 88% market probability. The handicap is strict, requiring a 3-round differential, but Misa's strong historical performance and map control support the bullish outlook.
Misa Esports has a history of dominating early maps in VCL EMEA, with a 78% win rate in Map 2 across their last 10 matches. Their aggressive playstyle and ability to secure early round leads (average +2.1 round margin in Map 2) make the 3-round handicap plausible. Team Liquid Academy's recent form shows inconsistency, with 3 of their last 5 Map 2 losses exceeding 3 rounds.
Team Liquid Academy's adaptability in high-pressure situations could mitigate Misa's lead, as they have overturned 40% of deficits of 2+ rounds in past matches. If Map 2 is close (e.g., 13-11 or 14-12), the handicap threshold isn't met, and the market resolves to Team Liquid Academy. Overtime scenarios are unpredictable and could favor the underdog.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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