Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Map 2 not played to completion (forfeit/default)
AI updated 6/30/2026, 8:30:46 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
90%
ORYN Consensus
90%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,116,166
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 87-93
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
8 points
This market refers to the Valorant match between Misa Esports and MIR in the VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 30 at 1:30PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 2 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports wins Map 2 by 3 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Misa Esports's round total on Map 2 exceeds MIR's by 3 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MIR". Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Misa Esports is heavily favored to win Map 2 by 3 or more rounds against MIR, with a 90% market probability. The handicap (-2.5) implies Misa Esports needs a margin of 3+ rounds to resolve positively.
Misa Esports has a strong team dynamic and historical performance favoring large round victories. Their aggressive playstyle and map control could secure a dominant Map 2 win, exceeding the +2.5 handicap threshold.
MIR may exploit Misa Esports's weaknesses in Map 2, particularly if Misa struggles with map-specific strategies or suffers from in-game coordination issues. A close or overtime Map 2 could fall short of the required 3-round margin.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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