Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match forfeit or disqualification before Map 3 completion
AI updated 7/1/2026, 8:00:40 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 44% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,569,258
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Valorant match between Joblife and MIR in the VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 1 at 12:45PM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 3 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 3, including any overtime, is greater than 26.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 26.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 26.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for 'Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5' in the Valorant match between Joblife and MIR is currently balanced at 50.00%, reflecting neutral expectations for the combined round total on Map 3. The outcome hinges on whether the teams will play more or fewer than 26.5 rounds before the map concludes.
A bullish scenario would see the teams engage in an extended, high-stakes Map 3 with multiple overtime rounds, pushing the total rounds played above 26.5. This could occur if both teams are evenly matched, leading to prolonged rounds and potential overtime scenarios, especially in a playoff setting where momentum and strategy are critical.
A bearish outcome would result from a decisive Map 3 with fewer than 26.5 rounds, such as one team dominating early or a quick resolution due to skill disparity. This could also happen if the map is decided by forfeit, disqualification, or default, which would trigger a 50-50 resolution regardless of the scheduled probability.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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