Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Map 3 not being played to completion (resolves 50-50)
AI updated 7/1/2026, 7:31:59 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 45% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,553,845
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Valorant match between Joblife and MIR in the VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 1 at 12:45PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Joblife" if Joblife wins Map 3 by 6 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Joblife's round total on Map 3 exceeds MIR's by 6 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MIR". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market reflects a 50% probability that Joblife will win Map 3 by 6 or more rounds against MIR in the VCL EMEA Stage 3 Playoffs. The handicap is balanced, with no clear favorite given the neutral probability and resolution conditions.
Joblife could dominate Map 3 with a 6+ round victory if they leverage superior strategy, individual skill, or adaptability to MIR's playstyle. A strong early lead or consistent execution in key rounds could push their odds above 50%.
MIR may prevent Joblife from achieving a 6+ round victory by maintaining a close score or winning key rounds, especially if Joblife struggles with consistency or MIR's defensive playstyle. A narrow victory for MIR would resolve the market as 'MIR'.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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