Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: map_2_completion_uncertainty
AI updated 7/1/2026, 6:32:19 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 45% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,552,800
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Valorant match between Joblife and MIR in the VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 1 at 12:45PM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 2 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 2, including any overtime, is greater than 22.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 22.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 22.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Map 2 total rounds (Over/Under 22.5) in the Valorant match between Joblife and MIR is currently at 50% probability, reflecting equal likelihood of the combined rounds exceeding or falling below 22.5. The market is highly sensitive to whether Map 2 is played to completion or resolved via forfeit/default.
A bullish outcome (Over 22.5) could materialize if both teams engage in high-intensity play, leading to frequent rounds and potential overtime. Strong individual performances or strategic mismatches may prolong the map, pushing the total rounds above 22.5.
A bearish outcome (Under 22.5) is plausible if one team dominates early, securing quick round victories and minimizing total rounds. High-pressure tactics or early game-ending strategies (e.g., eco rounds) could also reduce the total rounds played.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
No direct venue links for this market. ORYN exclusive markets are intelligence-only.
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