Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Map 3 not played to completion (forfeit, default, or cancellation)
AI updated 7/1/2026, 6:31:47 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 45% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,552,730
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Valorant match between Enterprise Esports and NAVI Junior in the VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 1 at 11:00AM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 3 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 3, including any overtime, is greater than 16.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 16.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 16.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for 'Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5' in the Valorant VCL EMEA Stage 3 Playoffs match between Enterprise Esports and NAVI Junior is currently at 50%, indicating no clear consensus on whether the total rounds will exceed or fall short of 16.5. The market's resolution hinges on the completion of Map 3, with a 50-50 outcome if the map is not played to conclusion or if the match is canceled or significantly delayed.
A bullish outcome (Over 16.5) could occur if the match features high-scoring teams or intense gameplay, leading to prolonged rounds or overtime. Enterprise Esports or NAVI Junior may have aggressive playstyles that favor extended round counts, or the map selection (e.g., Ascent, Bind) may inherently promote higher round totals due to its design.
A bearish outcome (Under 16.5) may arise if one team dominates the match, leading to a quick resolution with fewer rounds. The map selection could favor low-scoring outcomes (e.g., Lotus, Pearl), or the teams may employ defensive strategies that reduce round duration. Technical issues or early forfeits could also skew the total rounds downward.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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