Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match 2 not played to completion (resolves 50-50)
AI updated 6/28/2026, 4:32:08 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,168,179
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
9h
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Valorant match between Azure Dragon Gaming and Evil Geniuses Academy in the VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage, initially scheduled for June 28 at 7:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 2 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Azure Dragon Gaming" if Azure Dragon Gaming wins Map 2 by 3 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Azure Dragon Gaming's round total on Map 2 exceeds Evil Geniuses Academy's by 3 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Evil Geniuses Academy". Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market is evenly split (50%) on whether Azure Dragon Gaming will win Map 2 by 3+ rounds. The outcome hinges on Map 2's round differential, independent of match or series results.
Azure Dragon Gaming could dominate Map 2 with a strong early lead, exploiting EG Academy's potential weaknesses in first-half strategies or map control. A 3+ round margin would validate their tactical execution and player form.
Evil Geniuses Academy may counter Azure Dragon Gaming's strategies, leveraging late-game adaptations or superior individual performances to limit the round deficit to 2 or fewer. Overtime scenarios could also favor EG Academy.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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