Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Map 2 not being played to completion (forfeit/default)
AI updated 6/28/2026, 2:02:31 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,128,612
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
4d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the Valorant match between EDward Gaming and BBL Esports in the Esports World Cup Group A, initially scheduled for July 2 at 7:00AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 2 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "EDward Gaming" if EDward Gaming wins Map 2 by 3 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. EDward Gaming's round total on Map 2 exceeds BBL Esports's by 3 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "BBL Esports". Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for Map 2 Rounds Handicap (EDward Gaming -2.5 vs BBL Esports +2.5) is currently at 50%, indicating no clear favorite. The handicap requires EDward Gaming to win by 3+ rounds for resolution to their side, otherwise BBL Esports wins the market.
EDward Gaming could win Map 2 by 3+ rounds if they demonstrate superior team coordination, stronger agent pool execution, or BBL Esports suffers key player absences or strategic missteps. A dominant early-game lead or efficient economy management could drive this outcome.
BBL Esports may avoid a 3+ round loss if they maintain parity through strong post-plant defense, efficient economy, or EDward Gaming underperforms due to individual errors or poor map control. A close overtime finish would also favor this resolution.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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