Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Late replacement or withdrawal
AI updated 6/29/2026, 11:45:31 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
56%
ORYN Consensus
56%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,542,525
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 53-59
—
Resolution
12d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market will resolve to "Ethyn Ewing" if Ethyn Ewing is officially declared the winner of the fight against Farid Basharat at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Farid Basharat" if Farid Basharat is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for UFC 329's bantamweight bout between Ethyn Ewing and Farid Basharat favors Ewing at 56%, suggesting a slight edge in public perception. The fight's outcome hinges on performance factors, as both fighters are relatively untested in high-profile early prelims.
Ethyn Ewing's bull case rests on his recent form, striking accuracy, and potential to outclass Basharat in a fast-paced fight. Bettors may favor Ewing due to his youth, athleticism, and underdog narrative, which could translate to a dominant performance.
Farid Basharat's bear case centers on Ewing's perceived advantages in reach and cardio, which could neutralize Basharat's grappling strength. Alternatively, Basharat's experience in high-pressure fights (e.g., UFC 300) may be underestimated, leading to an upset.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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