Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential weather or pitch conditions affecting early play
Calibrated 100% · raw 200% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 6:32:06 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,086,448
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 200.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
13d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between The New Saints FC and Sabah FK, scheduled for July 14 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if The New Saints FC score 1 or more goals in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If The New Saints FC score less than 1 goals in the first half, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on The New Saints FC's first-half score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for The New Saints FC to score 1+ goals in the first half of their UEFA Champions League match against Sabah FK is evenly balanced at 50.00%, reflecting uncertainty in early-season form and opponent strength. Historical data suggests The New Saints FC has a moderate attacking record, but Sabah FK's defensive record is unproven at this level.
The New Saints FC, a Welsh club with recent Europa Conference League experience, may leverage home advantage and historical attacking prowess to surpass the 0.5 goal threshold in the first half. Sabah FK, debuting in the Champions League, could be vulnerable to counterattacks or set-pieces, increasing the likelihood of The New Saints FC scoring early.
Sabah FK's defensive structure and physicality could stifle The New Saints FC's attack, particularly in the first half where tactical adjustments are less likely. The New Saints FC's away form in European competitions has been inconsistent, and Sabah FK's debut could dampen their offensive output.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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