Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unpredictable in-game dynamics (e.g., referee decisions, weather conditions)
AI updated 7/1/2026, 6:32:59 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 45% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,571,469
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
12d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for July 14 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Floriana FC" if Floriana FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Shamrock Rovers FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market reflects a 50% probability that Floriana FC will win by 3 or more goals against Shamrock Rovers FC in their UEFA Champions League match on July 14. The outcome hinges on a significant goal difference, making it a high-risk, high-reward prediction.
Floriana FC's attacking strength and recent form could allow them to secure a dominant 3+ goal victory, especially if Shamrock Rovers FC's defense is vulnerable or fatigued. High-scoring matches in the Champions League increase the likelihood of this outcome.
Shamrock Rovers FC's defensive solidity and counter-attacking ability may prevent Floriana FC from achieving the required goal margin. Historical low-scoring matches or tactical disciplined opponents reduce the probability of a 3+ goal win.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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